内存涨价为哪般，本站浅析内存疯涨内幕

dotopgod

<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" ="Msonormal"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 近一个月来，全国</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">DIY</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">市场的内存疯涨，品牌</SPAN><FONT face="Times New Roman"><?:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><ST1:CHMETCNV w:st="on" UnitName="m" SourceValue="512" HasSpace="False" Negative="False" TCSC="0" Number="1"><SPAN lang=EN-US>512M</SPAN></ST1:CHMETCNV><SPAN lang=EN-US> DDR400</SPAN></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">和</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">DDR2 533</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">内存从两个月前单条</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">300</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">左右的价格，一路飚升到</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">450</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">元。内存价格为何涨势如此凶猛，本站就长春内存市场进行了分析。</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" ="Msonormal"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 内存作为</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">DIY</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">三大主件之一，它的价格每天甚至每个小时都在发生着变化。造成内存价格发生变化的原因众多，但大地认为，其中的两点是最关键的原因。</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" ="Msonormal"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"></SPAN></FONT>&nbsp;</P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 21.0pt" ="Msonormal"><FONT size=3><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"><FONT face="Times New Roman">一，</FONT></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">内存制造商的近忧——内存颗粒</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" ="Msonormal"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 内存基本上由内存颗粒和</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">PCB</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">电路板组成，而内存颗粒是整个内存成本中最重要的组成部分，市面上的</SPAN><ST1:CHMETCNV w:st="on" UnitName="m" SourceValue="512" HasSpace="False" Negative="False" TCSC="0" Number="1"><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">512M</FONT></SPAN></ST1:CHMETCNV><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman"> DDR400</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">大多数采用双面</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">16</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">颗内存颗粒，而</SPAN><FONT face="Times New Roman"><ST1:CHMETCNV w:st="on" UnitName="m" SourceValue="512" HasSpace="False" Negative="False" TCSC="0" Number="1"><SPAN lang=EN-US>512M</SPAN></ST1:CHMETCNV><SPAN lang=EN-US> DDR2 533</SPAN></FONT><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">则由单面</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">8</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">颗内存颗粒组成，世界上知名的内存颗粒生产厂商有韩系的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">samsung</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">（三星）、</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">Hynix(</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">现代</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">)</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">，德国的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">Infineon</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">（英飞凌），台系的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">Micron</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">（镁光）、</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">Winbond(</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">华邦</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">)</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">、</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">NANYA</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">（南亚）、</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">Mosel(</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">茂矽</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">)</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">等。内存颗粒的紧缺最能带动内存的涨价，内存颗粒的货源也是很多内存制造商，诸如</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">KINGSTON</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">，</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">GEIL</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">，</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">CORSAIR</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">等内存的产量起伏的原因。</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt 21pt; TEXT-INDENT: -21pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 21.0pt" ="Msonormal"><FONT size=3><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-family: 宋体"><SPAN style="mso-list: Ignore"><FONT face="Times New Roman">二，</FONT></SPAN></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">内存渠道商的远谋——内存囤货</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" ="Msonormal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><FONT size=3>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 任何一个行业、任何一种商品都存在着市场供求关系，而供求是影响价格的最主要原因，很多渠道商都能看到大盘近期甚至将来一断时间的走势。这样，为了谋取更多的未来利润，很多渠道商在有风险的预谋着不同时间段相应的控制自己的囤货库存。一般都出现不同品牌的内存渠道商同时囤货，导致内存价格普遍上扬。但此环节并不是造成内存涨幅大的主要原因。</FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" ="Msonormal"><SPAN lang=EN-US><?:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><O:P><FONT face="Times New Roman" size=3>&nbsp;</FONT></O:P></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" ="Msonormal"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"><FONT size=3>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 近期全国内存市场涨价狂潮的出现又是什么原因呢？大地给网迷们分析一下。</FONT></SPAN></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" ="Msonormal"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 大地获悉，世界上著名的内存颗粒制造商韩国现代</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">Hynix</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">前不久因为技术原因，损失了</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">300</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">万片的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">DDR2 533</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">内存颗粒，导致大部分内存制造商不能保证内存颗粒的供应从而产量下降，供不应求，最终带来内存疯涨。</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" ="Msonormal"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 另一个消息也是最准确的，那就是内存颗粒大厂现代</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">Hynix</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">和镁光</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US><FONT face="Times New Roman">Mircon</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">纷纷逐步的把</SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">产能重点从利润微薄的内存颗粒模组转向了利润相对更高的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">NAND</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">闪存芯片方面，正是这样的产能转移造成市场上内存颗粒模组的供应不足，进一步引起了内存的涨价。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" ="Msonormal"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 每年的</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">2</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">、</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">3</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">月份和</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">8</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">、</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">9</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">月份正是长春高校大学生开学的时期，拥有</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">26</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">万大学生的长春</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">DIY</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">市场的内存需求量最大，由于时间相对较五一和十一黄金周要长，很多厂商不能充分准备。而作为内存厂商，他们基本上一个季度也就是三个月大规模的购置内存颗粒，这样，时间性上出现了偏差。导致厂家措手不及，也没有办法更好的弥补内存产量。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" ="Msonormal"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 这两个月内存涨价幅度太大，很多长春市内存渠道经销商不能很好的预测内存到底在未来一段时间内是继续涨还是迅速的跌，特别是内存已经涨的很离谱了，大家也不敢相信内存还会有大幅度的涨势。固然，他们不敢多量引进内存，而市场上突发性的需求，让供求关系出现偏差，少量的供应不能满足需求，致使一些渠道商抬高价格获得暴利。</SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" ="Msonormal"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312"></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><O:P></O:P></SPAN></FONT></P>
<P style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt" ="Msonormal"><FONT size=3><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 总之，内存涨价虽然是多方面的，但近期来看，涨价也是必然的。大地认为，从内存大环境上看，短期内内存不会有太大的跌幅，但到了下个内存颗粒购置季度可能会带来降价势头。初步预测为本年</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">11</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">月份。购买内存的玩家请随时关注</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">DIY</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">市场，关注吉林</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><FONT face="Times New Roman">IT</FONT></SPAN><SPAN style="COLOR: black; FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312; mso-hansi-font-family: ˎ̥_GB2312">信息网(<A href="http://www.jlit365.com" target="_blank">www.jlit365.com</A>)已获得更多，更快，更准的市场消息便于消费。</SPAN></FONT></P><edited><editID>dotopgod</editID><editDate>2006-9-17 10:17:20</editDate></edited>

好麻烦啊<br>我已经等一个月了<br>还要再等2月？<br>还不一定降得下来<br>

<P>各种消息都很杂乱，内存近阶段最好还是观望一下好。</P>

<P>我也盼了三个多月了.</P>
<P>哎呀买个电脑烦死.主要是因为穷啊.T.T</P>

<P>内存涨价只是一方面，大地了解，MP3 MP4的存储芯片的价格也在抬高</P>

<P>那我11月份再装机好了</P>

不知道明年会不会降一点.......

<P>呵呵,记得年初买条512M DDR400的威刚条子,320.现在涨到460了,真是离谱.DDR2内存也涨,所以前阵子买机器硬是没买内存,3000+速龙到是便宜只540,比512内存贵不到100.从BARTON机器上拆了2条256M DDR400装K8上开双通道.反正K7开双通道也是FSB=400,没大区别,就用单条512,现在2台机器都是512M,用起来也可以,平时也不玩变态级游戏.内存不回到320就坚决不买,呵呵.&nbsp;</P>